Section outline

  • Lecture: Evaluating Uncertainty

    We consider confidence intervals, the limits of p-values, the intuition of bootstrapping to estimate confidence intervals, and estimating and interpreting subgroup effects. 

    Faculty:  Maria Glymour


    Location:      Mission Hall 1406  

    • Session Slides:

    • Session Audio/Video Recording (Access restricted to registered students):

    • Watch URL

    • Required Reading:

      1. Sterne JAC, Smith GD. Sifting the evidence - what's wrong with significance tests? British Medical Journal. Jan 27 2001;322(7280):226-+.
      2.  Ioannidis JPA. Why most published research findings are false. PLoS Med. 2006;2(8):e124: 0696-0701
      3. Grunkemeier, G. and Y. Wu (2004). "Bootstrap resampling methods: something for nothing?" The Annals of thoracic surgery 77(4): 1142.
      4. Ertel et al., Frailty modifies effectiveness of psychosocial intervention in recovery from stroke. Clin Rehabil. 2007. 21:511.

    • Optional Reading:

    • Sterne on p-values File
      Not available unless: Your ID number contains 02
    • On (Ir)Reproducible Science File
      Not available unless: Your ID number contains 02
    • Introduction to the bootstrap File
      Not available unless: Your ID number contains 02
    • Ertel FIRST Secondary File
      Not available unless: Your ID number contains 02

    • Assignment: Optional narrative description