EPI 263: Demographic Methods for Health (Fall 2021)

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    Demographic Methods for Health

    
    EPI 263 Fall 2021 (1.5 units)
    .
    Course Director: Nadia Diamond-Smith, PhD, MSc.
    Assistant Professor, Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics
    

  • Select activity EPI 263 Forum

    

    EPI 263 Forum
  • Select activity News forum

    

    News forum
  • Select activity Syllabus 2021

    

    Syllabus 2021 File
  • Select activity Sample EPI263 Final Paper

    

    Sample EPI263 Final Paper File
• Select section Wednesday, September 15, 2021; 8:45 AM – 10:15 AM

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  Wednesday, September 15, 2021; 8:45 AM – 10:15 AM

  Introduction to Demography and Introduction to the class/expectations
  

  Session Overview:

  1.    Introduction to the class/expectations
  2.    What is demography?
  3.    Why is understanding demographic methods useful for epidemiologists/public health experts? 
  4.    Population growth
  5.    Population pyramids. 

  Faculty: Nadia Diamond-Smith

  Lecture (Access restricted to registered students):  Zoom URL
  

  • Select activity Lecture Slides:

    Lecture Slides:

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    Lecture 1 Slides File
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    Lecture 1 Video File
  • Select activity Lecture (access restricted to registered students)...

    Lecture (access restricted to registered students): Zoom URL
    

    https://ucsf.zoom.us/j/98946238531?pwd=Vm5IMlBDTUJzUlZ0aXczZmNjaTJPdz09
    

  • Select activity Required Reading:Please read the PDF posted online...

    Required Reading:

    Please read the PDF posted online or in your email

  • Select activity Kawachi

    

    Kawachi File
  • Select activity Assignment:

    Assignment:
    

  • Select activity Lab 1 assignment

    

    Lab 1 assignment File
  • Select activity POPULATION BY AGE FEMALE - 2020

    

    POPULATION BY AGE FEMALE - 2020 File
  • Select activity POPULATION BY AGE MALE - 2020

    

    POPULATION BY AGE MALE - 2020 File
  • Select activity POPULATION BY AGE BOTH SEXES - 2020

    

    POPULATION BY AGE BOTH SEXES - 2020 File
  • Select activity Assignment Due Date:  5pm the night before cl...

    Assignment Due Date:  5pm the night before class (September 21st, 2021)
    

  • Select activity Turn in Lab 1 here by 5pm the night before class

    

    Turn in Lab 1 here by 5pm the night before class Assignment
• Select section Wednesday, September 22, 2021; 8:45 AM – 10:15 AM

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  Wednesday, September 22, 2021; 8:45 AM – 10:15 AM

  Lexis Diagrams and measurement, Data Quality

  1. Introduction to lexus diagrams

  2. Rates, probabilities and challenges

  3. Standardization

  4. Demographic data sources and Issues in data quality 

  Lecturer: Nadia Diamond-Smith

  Lecture (Access restricted to registered students):  Zoom URL
  

  • Select activity Required Readings:Canning, David. 2011. The causes...

    Required Readings:

    Canning, David. 2011. The causes and consequences of demographic transition. Population Studies 65, no. 3: 353–361. doi:10.1080/00324728.2011.611372.

    The Idea of Demographic Transition and the Study of Fertility Change: A Critical Intellectual History. Population and Development Review. Vol. 19, No. 4 (Dec., 1993), pp. 659-701 (43 pages) https://www.jstor.org/stable/2938410?seq=1#metadata_info_tab_contents

    
    

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    Lecture Slides:
    

  • Select activity Discussion on reading for week 2

    

    Discussion on reading for week 2 Forum
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    Assignment:
    

  • Select activity Assignment Due Date: 5pm the night before class&nb...

    Assignment Due Date: 5pm the night before class (5pm September 28th, 2021)
    

  • Select activity Lab 2 2021

    

    Lab 2 2021 File
  • Select activity Datasets:

    Datasets:

  • Select activity POPULATION BY AGE BOTH SEXES - 2020

    

    POPULATION BY AGE BOTH SEXES - 2020 File
  • Select activity MORT F04 1 DEATHS BY AGE BOTH SEXES 2020

    

    MORT F04 1 DEATHS BY AGE BOTH SEXES 2020 File
  • Select activity MORT F04 3 DEATHS BY AGE FEMALE 2020

    

    MORT F04 3 DEATHS BY AGE FEMALE 2020 File
  • Select activity MORT F04 2 DEATHS BY AGE MALE 2020

    

    MORT F04 2 DEATHS BY AGE MALE 2020 File
  • Select activity Turn in Lab 2 here

    

    Turn in Lab 2 here Assignment
  • Select activity Lecture Slides

    

    Lecture Slides File
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    Lecture Video File
• Select section Wednesday, September 29, 2021; 8:45 AM – 10:15 AM

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  Wednesday, September 29, 2021; 8:45 AM – 10:15 AM

  Fertility: Theory, discussion and lab, The impact of family planning and abortion on population
  

  1. Historical and current trends
  2. Theories of fertility decline
  3. Proximate determinants of fertility

  Guest Lecturer: Diana Greene Foster, UCSF

  Faculty: Nadia Diamond-Smith

  Lecture (Access restricted to registered students):  Zoom URL

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    Lecture (access restricted to registered students): Zoom URL
    

  • Select activity Required Reading:

    Required Reading:

    
    

  • Select activity Foster Lancet 2016 unmet need for abortion

    

    Foster Lancet 2016 unmet need for abortion File
  • Select activity Completing the fertility transition in the developing world The role of educational differences and fertility preferences

    

    Completing the fertility transition in the developing world The role of educational differences and fertility preferences File
  • Select activity Discussion on reading for week 3

    

    Discussion on reading for week 3 Forum
  • Select activity Optional Reading:

    Optional Reading:

  • Select activity The Turnaway Study Book : Amazon Link 

    The Turnaway Study Book : Amazon Link 
    

  • Select activity Horga M, Gerdts C, Potts M. "The remarkable story of Romanian women’s struggle to manage their fertility" Journal of Family Planning and Reproductive Health Care 2013, 39, 2–4.

    

    Horga M, Gerdts C, Potts M. "The remarkable story of Romanian women’s struggle to manage their fertility" Journal of Family Planning and Reproductive Health Care 2013, 39, 2–4. File
  • Select activity Van Ginneken, J.K. and Razzaque, A., 2003. Supply and demand factors in the fertility decline in Matlab, Bangladesh in 1977–1999, European Journal of Population, 19: 29–45.

    

    Van Ginneken, J.K. and Razzaque, A., 2003. Supply and demand factors in the fertility decline in Matlab, Bangladesh in 1977–1999, European Journal of Population, 19: 29–45. File
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    Lecture Slides File
• Select section Wednesday, October 6, 2021; 8:45 AM – 10:15 AM

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  Wednesday, October 6, 2021; 8:45 AM – 10:15 AM

  Theory of mortality decline (Additional Fertility)

  Mortality: Theory, discussion 

  • Epidemiological Transition, Health Transition, theories on why mortality fell
    

  Additional Fertility;

  1. Parity progression ratios
     
  2. Mean age at childbirth
     

  Faculty: Nadia Diamond-Smith

  Lecture (Access restricted to registered students):  Zoom URL

  
  

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    Lecture Slides:
    

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    Lecture 4 Slides File
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    Lecture Video File
  • Select activity Lecture (access restricted to registered students)... (copy) (copy) (copy)

    Lecture (access restricted to registered students): Zoom URL
    

  • Select activity Required Reading: Ouellette, Nadine, Magali Bar...

    Required Reading:

    1. Ouellette, Nadine, Magali Barbieri, and John R. Wilmoth. "Period‐Based Mortality Change: Turning Points in Trends since 1950." Population and development review 40, no. 1 (2014): 77-106.

    2. Mackenbach et al. "Variations in the relation between education and cause-specific mortality in 19 European populations: A test of the “fundamental causes” theory of social inequalities in health" Social Science & Medicine 127 (2015) 51e62
       

  • Select activity Ouellette-Barbieri-Wilmoth-2014

    

    Ouellette-Barbieri-Wilmoth-2014 File
  • Select activity Mackenbach 2015

    

    Mackenbach 2015 File
  • Select activity Discussion on reading for week 4

    

    Discussion on reading for week 4 Forum
  • Select activity Assignment:

    Assignment:
    

  • Select activity Assignment Due Date:  5pm the night before cl...

    Assignment Due Date:  5pm the night before class (October 12th, 2021)
    

  • Select activity Lab 3 2021: Due Oct 12

    

    Lab 3 2021: Due Oct 12 File
  • Select activity Turn in Lab 3 here: Due Oct 12

    

    Turn in Lab 3 here: Due Oct 12 Assignment
  • Select activity Datasets:

    Datasets:

  • Select activity POPULATION BY AGE FEMALE 2020

    

    POPULATION BY AGE FEMALE 2020 File
  • Select activity POPULATION BY AGE MALE 2020

    

    POPULATION BY AGE MALE 2020 File
  • Select activity FERT F04 TOTAL FERTILITY 2020

    

    FERT F04 TOTAL FERTILITY 2020 File
  • Select activity BIRTHS BOTH SEXES 2020

    

    BIRTHS BOTH SEXES 2020 File
  • Select activity FERT F08 MEAN AGE CHILDBEARING 2020

    

    FERT F08 MEAN AGE CHILDBEARING 2020 File
• Select section Wednesday, October 13, 2021; 8:45 AM – 10:15 AM

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  Wednesday, October 13, 2021; 8:45 AM – 10:15 AM

  Family demography and demography of gender (Sex Ratios)

  1. Trends and disparities in marriage, cohabitation, divorce
  2. Theories of family demography, including the second demographic transition
  3. Demography of gender: focus on sex ratios in India

  Lecture (Access restricted to registered students):  Zoom URL
  

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    Lecture Slides:

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    Lecture (access restricted to registered students): Zoom URL
    

  • Select activity Discussion on reading for week 5 (due 5pm Oct 12th)

    

    Discussion on reading for week 5 (due 5pm Oct 12th) Forum
  • Select activity ReadingSmith-Greenaway, Emily and Jenny Trinitapo...

    Reading

    1. Smith-Greenaway, Emily and Jenny Trinitapoli. 2014. “Polygynous Contexts, Family Structure, and Infant Mortality in Sub-Saharan Africa” Demography, 51:341-366
    2. O’Flaherty et. Al. 2016. “The Family Life Course and Health: Partnership, Fertility Histories, and Later-Life Physical Health Trajectories in Australia” Demography 53:777–804
    3. Das Gupta, Monica and P. N. Mari Bhat. 1997. “Fertility Decline and Increased Manifestation of Sex Bias in India” Population Studies, Vol. 51, No. 3  

  • Select activity dasguptabhat 1997

    

    dasguptabhat 1997 File
  • Select activity O’Flaherty 2015

    

    O’Flaherty 2015 File
  • Select activity Smith-Greenaway 2014

    

    Smith-Greenaway 2014 File
  • Select activity Assignment:

    Assignment:
    

  • Select activity Final paper topic 1 paragraph: Due Nov 3rd

    

    Final paper topic 1 paragraph: Due Nov 3rd Assignment
  • Select activity Lecture Video - Oct 13

    

    Lecture Video - Oct 13 Media Resource
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    Lecture Slides - Oct 13 File
• Select section Wednesday, October 20, 2021; 8:45 AM – 10:15 AM

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  Wednesday, October 20, 2021; 8:45 AM – 10:15 AM

  Life tables and multi state life tables: Amal Harrrati

  1. Life Tables (Nadia)
     
  2. Multi-state life tables
     
  3. Disability and work: sequence and cluster analysis
     

  Guest Lecturer: Amal Harrrati

  Lecture (Access restricted to registered students):  Zoom URL

  
  

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  • Select activity Lecture Slides: Amal Harrati, PhD

    

    Lecture Slides: Amal Harrati, PhD File
  • Select activity Readings: Harrati, A., Hepburn, P., Meausoone...

    Readings: 

    Harrati, A., Hepburn, P., Meausoone, V., & Cullen, M. R. (2019). Characterizing Long-Term Trajectories of Work and Disability Leave: The Role of Occupational Exposures, Health, and Personal Demographics. Journal of occupational and environmental medicine, 61(11), 936–943. https://ucsf.idm.oclc.org/login?url=https://doi.org/10.1097/JOM.0000000000001705

    Erika L. Sabbath, Ivan Mejía Guevara, M. Maria Glymour, Lisa F.Berkman, “Use of Life Course Work–Family Profiles to Predict Mortality Risk Among US Women”, American Journal of Public Health 105, no. 4 (April 1, 2015): pp. e96-e102.
    

    
    

    
    

  • Select activity Lecture (access restricted to registered students)... (copy) (copy) (copy) (copy) (copy)

    Lecture (access restricted to registered students): Zoom URL
    

  • Select activity Discussion on reading for week 6 (due 5pm Oct 19)

    

    Discussion on reading for week 6 (due 5pm Oct 19) Forum
  • Select activity Lab 4 2021

    

    Lab 4 2021 File
  • Select activity WPP2019 SA4 MORT F07 1 LIFE EXPECTANCY 0 BOTH SEXES

    

    WPP2019 SA4 MORT F07 1 LIFE EXPECTANCY 0 BOTH SEXES File
  • Select activity Probabilities of Dying

    

    Probabilities of Dying File
  • Select activity Assignment Due Date:  5pm the night before cl...

    Assignment Due Date:  5pm the night before class (5pm on October 26th)
    

  • Select activity Turn in Lab 4 here

    

    Turn in Lab 4 here Assignment
  • Select activity Reading 1 for 10/20

    

    Reading 1 for 10/20 File
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    Reading 2 for 10/20 File
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    Lecture Video - Oct 20 Media Resource
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    Lecture Slides - 10/20 File
• Select section Wednesday, October 27, 2021; 8:45 AM – 10:15 AM

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  Wednesday, October 27, 2021; 8:45 AM – 10:15 AM

  Residential Segregation

  1. Residential segregation and environmental health
     
  2. Measures of segregation: Index of dissimilarity and dimensions of segregation (evenness, exposure, clustering, concentration, centralization) (Nadia)

  Guest Lecturer: Joan Casey, UC Berkeley/UCSF
  

  
  Lecture (Access restricted to registered students):  Zoom URL

  
  

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    Lecture Slides:

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    Lecture (access restricted to registered students): Zoom URL
    

    
    

    Lecture recording: 

    https://www.dropbox.com/s/vs7p9wtna7z3hhc/Segregation.mp4.zip?dl=0
    

  • Select activity Discussion on reading for week 7 (Due 5pm Oct 26)

    

    Discussion on reading for week 7 (Due 5pm Oct 26) Forum
  • Select activity Required Reading: Kreiger et al. 2017. Local Re...

    Required Reading:

    1. Kreiger et al. 2017. Local Residential Segregation Matters: Stronger Association of Census Tract Compared to Conventional City-Level Measures with Fatal and Non-Fatal Assaults (Total and Firearm Related), Using the Index of Concentration at the Extremes (ICE) for Racial, Economic, and Racialized Economic Segregation, Massachusetts (US), 1995–2010
       
    2. Jones et al. 2014.  Race/Ethnicity, Residential Segregation, and Exposure to Ambient Air Pollution: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA)
       
  • Select activity 2017 Krieger

    

    2017 Krieger File
  • Select activity American Journal of Public Health 2014 Jones

    

    American Journal of Public Health 2014 Jones File
  • Select activity Rank Topics for COVID & Demography presentation - Select by 5pm October 27th

    

    Rank Topics for COVID & Demography presentation - Select by 5pm October 27th Assignment
  • Select activity 1-Paragraph Description of final paper (Due November 3rd)

    

    1-Paragraph Description of final paper (Due November 3rd) Assignment
  • Select activity October 7th 2021 Lecture

    

    October 7th 2021 Lecture Media Resource
  • Select activity Lecture Slides Oct 27 2021

    

    Lecture Slides Oct 27 2021 File
  • Select activity Segregation equations slides

    

    Segregation equations slides File
• Select section Wednesday, November 3, 2021; 8:45 AM – 10:15 AM

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  Wednesday, November 3, 2021; 8:45 AM – 10:15 AM

  Aging and health systems (Canice Lecture)

  1. Aging and Dependency ratios
     
  2. Theories of rectangularization of morbidity/compression of morbidity
     

  Lecture (Access restricted to registered students):  Zoom URL
  

  • Select activity https://ucsf.zoom.us/j/98946238531?pwd=Vm5IMlBDTUJzUlZ0aXczZmNjaTJPdz09

    

    https://ucsf.zoom.us/j/98946238531?pwd=Vm5IMlBDTUJzUlZ0aXczZmNjaTJPdz09 URL

    Not available unless: You belong to Registered Students Only
  • Select activity Required Reading:  Christensen, Kaare, et...

    Required Reading:

    1.  Christensen, Kaare, et al. "Ageing populations: the challenges ahead." The Lancet 374.9696 (2009): 1196-1208.
    2. Preston, Samuel H., Andrew Stokes, Neil K. Mehta & Bochen Cao. 2014. “Projecting the Effect of Changes in Smoking and Obesity on Future Life Expectancy in the United States” Demography 51:27-49
  • Select activity Christensen 2009

    

    Christensen 2009 File
  • Select activity Preston 2014

    

    Preston 2014 File
  • Select activity Discussion on reading for Week 9 (Due Nov 2 at 5pm)

    

    Discussion on reading for Week 9 (Due Nov 2 at 5pm) Forum
  • Select activity Assignment Due Date:  5pm the night before cl...

    Assignment Due Date:  5pm the night before class (5pm on November 9th)
    

  • Select activity Lab 5

    

    Lab 5 Assignment
  • Select activity Lab 5 2021

    

    Lab 5 2021 File
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    Lecture Slides File
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    Lecture video Media Resource
• Select section Wednesday, November 10, 2021; 8:45 AM – 10:15 AM

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  Wednesday, November 10, 2021; 8:45 AM – 10:15 AM

  Migration and Urbanization; Measurement of segregation

  Migration and Health- Emily Trelevean

  • Theories of migration (neoclassical, segmented labor markets, family economics, cumulative causation)
    
  • Measurement of migration
    

  Nadia Follow-up: Urban demography

  • Definitions, trends and measures of urban-ness
    
  • Health in cities: urban penalty or advantage?

  Lecture (Access restricted to registered students):  Zoom URL

  
  

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    Lecture Slides:
    

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    Lecture (access restricted to registered students): Zoom URL
    

  • Select activity Discussion on reading for week 8 (Due 5pm on Nov 9)

    

    Discussion on reading for week 8 (Due 5pm on Nov 9) Forum
  • Select activity Required Reading:Hummer, Robert A., Daniel A. Pow...

    Required Reading:

    1. Hummer, Robert A., Daniel A. Powers, Starling G. Pullum, Ginger L. Grossman and W. Parker Frisbie.  2007.  “Paradox Found (Again):  Infant Mortality Among the Mexican-Origin Population in the United States.”  Demography 44(3):441-457.
    2. Ro and Fleischer^. 2014. “Changes in health selection of obesity among Mexican immigrants: A binational examination” Social Science & Medicine 123 (2014)
    3. Montgomery Mark R. and Paul C. Hewett 2005. “Urban Poverty and Health in Developing Countries: Household and Neighborhood Effects” Demography Vol. 42, No. 3 (Aug., 2005), pp. 397-425

    
    

    
    

  • Select activity HUMMER, 2007

    

    HUMMER, 2007 File
  • Select activity MONTGOMERY 2005

    

    MONTGOMERY 2005 File
  • Select activity Ro 2014

    

    Ro 2014 File
  • Select activity Lecture Video Nov 10th

    

    Lecture Video Nov 10th Media Resource
  • Select activity Slides from Nov 10+17

    

    Slides from Nov 10+17 File
• Select section Wednesday, November 17, 2021; 8:45 AM – 10:15 AM

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  Wednesday, November 17, 2021; 8:45 AM – 10:15 AM

  COVID and Demography: Quick presentations on different demographic topics and COVID

  1. Everyone will choose a topic by filling out a request and I will assign accordingly.
  2. Based on what you have learned about that demographic topic make a 3 slide presentation:

  • Why is thinking about this demographic process important for understanding the impact of COVID?
  • How do you think that COVID will impact this demographic process going further?
  • Is there any evidence/literature out there yet on this topic and COVID?

  Choose a topic:

  • Covid and mortality
  • Covid and fertility preference
  • Covid and age structure
  • Covid and Race/ethnicity
  • Covid and migration
  • Covid and marriage/cohabitation
  • Covid and living arrangements and residential patterns
  • Covid and life expectancy 

  Faculty: Nadia Diamond-Smith

  Post slides for presentation here: https://docs.google.com/presentation/d/1u6EzenxDJYvxB9nPcQLdObCDlkDGjiY3ldoP--7rWi8/edit?usp=sharing 

  
  

  • Select activity Google slides link for presentations

    

    Google slides link for presentations URL
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    Lecture (access restricted to registered students): Zoom URL
    

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    Required Reading:

• Select section Wednesday, November 24, 2021- No Lecture - Thanksgiving Holiday

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  Wednesday, November 24, 2021- No Lecture - Thanksgiving Holiday

  No class, prepare for final presentations next week and work on paper
  

  
  
• Select section Wednesday, December 1, 2021; 8:45 AM – 10:15 AM

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  Wednesday, December 1, 2021; 8:45 AM – 10:15 AM

  Presentations of Individual Project Findings (~10 mins each)

  Faculty: Nadia Diamond-Smith
  

  Final Paper Due Midnight PST on Wednesday December 8th, 2021.

  • Select activity Slides submission: Due on Wednesday Dec 1

    

    Slides submission: Due on Wednesday Dec 1 Assignment
  • Select activity Final Paper Submission

    

    Final Paper Submission Assignment