EPI 207: Epidemiologic Methods II (Winter 2022)
Section outline
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Forum for students to post questions and materials.
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Course Introduction & Conceptual Frameworks for Causal Inference (Parts I & II)
Introduction to the course; models/heuristics for causal inference in epidemiology; discussion of counterfactuals and identifiability criteria; ideal randomized experiments
Faculty: June Chan, Rebecca Graff
Location: ONLINE--Zoom link below
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Welcome and Overview to EPI 207 2022 Media Resource
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Conceptual Frameworks for Causal Inference - Part 1 Media Resource
Updated 12/28/21 with additional clarifications
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Bradford Hill (Optional) Media Resource
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Sufficient & Component Cause (Optional) Media Resource
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Uploaded 12/19/21, 14:03
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Uploaded 01/5/22, 15:29
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Updated 12/28/21 with additional clarifications
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Class Recording - Week 1 Media Resource
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Article to Read for HW - Karasek, et al. Lancet Reg Health Am 2021 File
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Office Hours
Instructors: Sarah Goldberg, Carolyn Smith Hughes
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Conceptual Frameworks for Causal Inference (Parts III & IV)
Conditional randomization, standardization, inverse probability weighting
Faculty: Rebecca GraffLocation: ONLINE--Zoom link below
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Conceptual Frameworks for Causal Inference - Part 3 Media Resource
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Uploaded 01/4/22, 17:34
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Uploaded 01/4/22, 17:54
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Uploaded 01/4/22, 18:04
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Class Recording - Week 2 - Part 1 Media Resource
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DAGs (Parts I & II)
How to draw and use directed acyclic graphs; d-separation; DAGs to represent confounding
Faculty: Rebecca Graff
Location: ONLINE--Zoom link below
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Directed Acyclic Graphs - Part 1 Media Resource
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Uploaded 01/12/22, 13:20
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Class Recording - Week 2 - Part 2 Media Resource
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Article to Read for HW - Hernan, et al. Ann Neurol 2001 File
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Directed Acyclic Graphs Homework Answer Key FileUploaded 02/16/22, 23:38
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Office Hours
Instructors: Sarah Goldberg, Carolyn Smith Hughes
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Office Hours Recording Media Resource
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DAGs (Parts III & IV)
DAGs to represent selection bias and measurement bias; limitations of DAGs
Faculty: Rebecca Graff
Location: ONLINE--Zoom link below
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Directed Acyclic Graphs - Part 3 Media Resource
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Class Recording - Week 3 - Part 1 Media Resource
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Class Recording - Week 3 - Part 1 - Transcript File
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Recording of 2021 DAGs Lecture Media Resource
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Homework #1 Review: Conceptual Frameworks for Causal Inference
Instructors: Sarah Goldberg, Carolyn Smith Hughes
Location: ONLINE--Zoom link below
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Class Recording - Week 3 - Part 2 Media Resource
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Class Recording - Week 3 - Part 2 - Transcript File
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Office Hours
Instructors: Sarah Goldberg, Carolyn Smith Hughes
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Office Hours Recording Media Resource
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Target Trials
Strengths and limitations of randomized clinical trials; similarities and differences between components of randomized clinical trials and observational studies; application of using a “target trial” to make causal inferences from cohort studies.
Faculty: June Chan
Location: ONLINE--Zoom link below
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Target Trials - Part 1 W22 Media Resource
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Target Trials - Part 3 Media Resource
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Uploaded 01/19/22, 11:49
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Uploaded 01/27/22, 11:31
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In-Class Exercise Target Trials Sample Answers W22 FileUploaded 01/27/22, 11:33
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Uploaded 01/27/22, 11:35
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Class Recording - Week 4 - Part 1 Media Resource
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Article to Read for HW - Lawson, et al. J Natl Cancer Inst 2007 File
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EPID 207 W22 Target Trials HW Questions FileUploaded 01/27/22, 10:10
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EPI207 RCT Coh Target Trials KEY ONLY to POST FileUploaded 02/3/22, 10:57
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Homework #2 Review: DAGs
Instructors: Sarah Goldberg, Carolyn Smith Hughes
Location: ONLINE--Zoom link below
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Class Recording - Week 4 - Part 2 Media Resource
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Office Hours:
Instructors: Sarah Goldberg, Carolyn Smith Hughes-
Office Hours Recording Media Resource
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Matching in Observational Studies
Purpose of matching; matching in cohort and case-control studies; case-crossover studies
Faculty: Rebecca Graff
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Mansournia, et al. Int J Epidemiol 2013 File
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Pearce BMJ 2016 File
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Dennekamp, et al. Environ Health Perspect 2015 File
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Matching in Observational Studies - Part 1 Media Resource
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Matching in Observational studies - Part 2 Media Resource
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Matching in Observational Studies - Part 3 Media Resource
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Class Recording - Week 5 - Part 1 Media Resource
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Uploaded 02/6/22, 16:59
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Article to Read for HW - Nevriana, et al. CNS Drugs 2017 File
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Matching in Observational Studies Homework Answer Key File
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Homework #3 Review: Target Trials
Instructors: Sarah Goldberg, Carolyn Smith Hughes
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Class Recording - Week 5 - Part 2 Media Resource
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Office Hours
Instructors: Sarah Goldberg, Carolyn Smith Hughes-
Office Hours Recording Media Resource
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Lecture: Interaction/Effect Modification
Faculty: June Chan
BEFORE class on Feb. 10, 2022, please do the readings and view/review Parts 1-4 of Interaction/Effect Modification (listed on Feb. 10). You are responsible for the material in all parts, however note that Parts 1, 2a, and 2b may be more of a “review” for some. In particular, parts 2a and 2b may have been recently covered in BIO208. For these sections, you may wish to skim the slides, to ensure that you are familiar with the material but may opt not to watch the video lectures. Part 3 is a slide deck of definitions only (no video), and we will review some of this during the live lecture on 2/10. In the live lecture on 2/10, we will also be focusing on discussing interaction using the counterfactual framework.
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VanderWeele.InteractionTutorial 2014 clean to post File
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Knol et al Int J Epid 2007 Interaction on Additive Scale File
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Part 1 Intro Interaction EffMod Media Resource
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Part 2a_rec_Model Coeff_Interaction EffMod v2 Media Resource
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Part 2b_rec_Model Coeff_Interaction EffMod v2 Media Resource
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Part4 rec Presenting EffMod Media Resource
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Part 6 AFTER live lec EPID207 W22 Intro to Interaction App by Francois Rerolle_Recorded Lec Media Resource
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Uploaded 02/2/22, 21:13
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Uploaded 02/9/22, 16:06
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Part 5 EM_Interaction InClass Recap Metrics and Counterfactual Framework FileUploaded 02/10/22, 13:12
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Uploaded 02/2/22, 21:28
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ALL Parts 1_6 and Appendix EM_Interaction W22 FileUploaded 02/10/22, 13:08
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Class Recording - Week 6 - Part 1 Media Resource
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EM and Interaction HW Ques W22 FileUploaded 02/9/22, 20:01
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Dataset for Interaction HW File
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W22 EM Interaction HW Answ Key to POST FileUploaded 02/17/22, 08:52
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Homework #4 Review: Matching
Instructors: Sarah Goldberg, Carolyn Smith Hughes-
Class Recording - Week 6 - Part 2 Media Resource
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Office Hours
Instructors: Sarah Goldberg, Carolyn Smith Hughes -
Lecture: Person-time and Bias
Fixed vs. open cohorts; the dynamic allocation of person-time in longitudinal cohorts; patient or survivor cohorts; particular bias issues discussed in the setting of patient cohorts (including selection bias, immortal-person time bias, measurement error bias, confounding by indication, and residual confounding); and how emulation of a target trial may help avoid some of these biases.
Faculty: June Chan
View Parts 1-3 of Person-time and Bias lecture BEFORE coming to class on Feb 17, 2022.
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SurvivalAnalysis LEC 2016_OPTIONAL primer on Survival Analysis File
For those interested in a bit more background information on survival analysis, please see this chapter written by Dr. McCulloch for the UCSF medical students, in 2016. We are sharing this supplemental information with his permission. Please note there may be internal references in this chapter to other texts from that course, which are not relevant for EPI207. (citation: Ch. 65 of the UCSF SOM Mechanisms, Methods, and Malignancy syllabus, 2016, copyright UC Regents)
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PT Bias Part 1 OpenFix Coh and Calcs EPI207_slides_no audio File
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PT Bias Part 2 PT EPI207_slides no audio File
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PT Bias Part 3 SurvCoh Conf EPI207 no audio File
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PT Bias Part 4 Sel Bias ImmPT W22 with InClass QUES ONLY FileUploaded 02/17/22, 11:26
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W22 PT Bias All DECKS combined with Answ FileUploaded 02/17/22, 11:27
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PT and Bias W22 InClass Exercise Ques with ANSWERS FileUploaded 02/17/22, 11:28
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Class Recording - Week 7 - Part 1 Media Resource
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HW PT Bias Ques to Post W22 FileUploaded 02/17/22, 11:29
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Choe, K.S., et al, Aspirin use and the risk of prostate cancer mortality in men treated with prostatectomy or radiotherapy. 2012, Journal of Clinical Oncology, 30(28), pp.3540-3544.
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W22 PT Bias KEY to post FileUploaded 02/24/22, 09:45
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Homework #5 Review: Effect Modification/Interaction
Instructors: Sarah Goldberg, Carolyn Smith Hughes
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Class Recording - Week 7 - Part 2 Media Resource
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Office Hours
Instructors: Sarah Goldberg, Carolyn Smith Hughes
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Office Hours Recording (02-22-22) Media Resource
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Lecture: DAGs for Advanced Challenges to Validity
Faculty: June Chan and Rebecca Graff
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DAGs for Advanced Challenges to Validity File
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Class Recording - Week 8 - Part 1 Media Resource
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Homework #6 Review: Person-Time/Bias
Instructors: Sarah Goldberg, Carolyn Smith Hughes
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Homework 6 review and discussion Media Resource
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Office Hours
Instructors: Sarah Goldberg, Carolyn Smith Hughes
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Quantitative Bias Analysis (QBA)
The focus of this workshop is methods for conducting quantitative bias analysis in epidemiologic research. We will first provide a brief introduction to confounding, information bias, and selection bias using causal diagrams. Next, we will discuss deterministic and probabilistic bias analysis. Dr. Mayeda will discuss examples of specific biases in her own work on determinants of cognitive decline in older adults. At the end of the workshop, participants should walk away with an understanding of the motivations behind quantitative bias analysis and how to use tools for conducting quantitative bias analysis.
The first two hours will contain the material for which students in EPI207 are responsible; the last hour is optional for the class.
Faculty: Elizabeth Rose Mayeda
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Uploaded 10/20/21, 23:41
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Orsini N, et al. A tool for deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analysis of epidemiologic studies. Stata Journal. 2008;8(1):29-48. File
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Mayeda ER, et al. A simulation platform for quantifying survival bias: an application to research on determinants of cognitive decline. American Journal of Epidemiology. 2016 Sep 1;184(5):378-87. (copy) File
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Hernán MA, Hernández-Díaz S, Robins JM. A structural approach to selection bias. Epidemiology. 2004;15(5):615-625. File
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Fox MP, Lash TL, Greenland S. A method to automate probabilistic sensitivity analyses of misclassified binary variables. International journal of epidemiology. 2005;34(6):1370-1376. File
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Last TL, et al. Good practices for quantitative bias analysis. International Journal of Epidemiology. 2014;43(6):1969-1985. File
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Uploaded 03/4/22, 12:53
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Uploaded 03/4/22, 12:54
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Class Recording - Week 9 Media Resource
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Uploaded 03/4/22, 12:58
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QBA Homework Answer Key File
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Office Hours
Instructors: Sarah Goldberg, Carolyn Smith Hughes
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Homework #7 Review: QBA
Instructors: Sarah Goldberg, Carolyn Smith Hughes
IN-PERSON, Mission Hall 1407
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Wrap Up
Faculty: June Chan, Rebecca Graff
IN-PERSON, Mission Hall 1407
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Uploaded 03/10/22, 12:41
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Watch - In-Person Session URL
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The final exam will be posted by 5:00pm on Thursday, 3/10 and be due by Friday, 3/18 at 11:59pm.
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2022 Epi 207 Final Exam FileUploaded 03/10/22, 12:53
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Satia, et al. Am J Epidemiol 2009 (Q1-Q4) File
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[OPTIONAL] Hernán, et al. J Clin Epidemiol 2016 (Q4b) File
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[OPTIONAL] Wright, et al. Cancer Causes Control 2003 (Q5) File
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[OPTIONAL] Jain, et al. JAMA 2015 (Q8) File
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[OPTIONAL] Jain, et al. JAMA 2015 Supplement (Q8) File

